Model Deteksi Mahasiswa Dropout Menggunakan Artificial Neural Network

Abstract

Student dropout remains a significant challenge for higher education institutions as it impacts academic quality, educational management efficiency, and students' success in completing their studies. Therefore, an approach that can identify students at risk of dropping out is necessary so that timely academic interventions can be made. This study aims to develop a dropout detection model using an Artificial Neural Network (ANN). The data used come from a publicly available higher education dataset, ensuring research reproducibility. Data preprocessing steps were carried out to improve data quality before modeling, and the Synthetic Minority Over-Sampling Technique combined with Edited Nearest Neighbors (SMOTE-ENN) was applied to address class imbalance issues. The ANN model's performance was evaluated using accuracy, precision, recall, F1-score, and area under the ROC curve (ROC-AUC). The test results show that the ANN model can provide excellent predictive performance in detecting at-risk students. The application of SMOTE-ENN also proved to enhance the model’s sensitivity toward the minority class, as indicated by improvements in recall and F1-score. These findings indicate that the developed ANN model has the potential to be used as a student dropout detection system to support data-driven decision-making and strategy development within higher education institutions.